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Water08 - AdaptRisk


Adaptive risk-informed decision making for flood management and water resource planning under climate change uncertainty

Uncertainty on future climate scenarios leads to increased uncertainty in the planning of flood protection, water resources and related measures. Since decisions on water infrastructure are long-term decisions (e.g. structural flood protection measures are designed for a service life time of 100 years, and land use planning has even a longer time horizon), these uncertainties must be addressed in the decision making process. Based on existing climate projection scenarios and hydrological models, the aim of this project is (1) a better understanding of the uncertainty associated with extreme events under climate change and (2) development of methods for identification of optimal watershed management strategies under these uncertainties. Because uncertainties on future climate and vulnerability will decrease as more information becomes available, adaptive decision strategies can be beneficial. Such adaptive strategies include the staggered construction of infrastructure, flexible temporary and operational measures, but also the increased monitoring of climate and watershed behavior. Using the "value of information" concept, such adaptive strategies can be evaluated against more classical fixed measures. In contrast to previous projects, this comparison is performed fully quantitatively, based on rigorous mathematical modeling of the uncertainties and Bayesian decision analysis for assessing the optimality of risk mitigation strategies. The project focuses primarily on the flood risk management. Planning of water resources and hydropower will also be considered, as they are tightly interrelated with each other, but on a less detailed level. While the project is a basic research project, it is expected that the insights gained in this project will influence the future planning of flood mitigation measures in practice. Close collaboration with practice (agencies and private consultancies) shall ensure this.

IGSSE setup of interdisciplinary research in project teams

Apply now: 12th call for proposals

IGSSE supports up to 10 new project teams

Call closes 2 July 2017


Apply now: IGSSE travel grant for ICCE 2017

28-29 September 2017, TU Darmstadt

Submission deadline for abstracts: 18 June 2017


IGSSE Forum 2017

29-31 May 2017, TUM Science and Study Center Raitenhaslach, Burghausen


Climate-KIC: Join the PhD Catapult

Two-week thematic summer schools across Europe


IAS Symposium: Selected topics in science and technology

8-10 May 2017, IAS Building, Garching Campus


IAS Coffee Talk with PTL Florian Praetorius

3 May 2017, 1 pm, TUM IAS Building, Garching Campus


10th IGSSE Forum

1 - 4 June 2016, TUM Science and Study Center, Burghausen


10th IGSSE Forum

Smart cooperation - science and technology in, with and for society


The Science of Cooking

Doctoral Candidates explore the Secrets of a great Dinner



Having heard of a great Canadian Kick-Off Meeting, everyone at IGSSE was thrilled to welcome the...


Breakfast at IGSSE´s

Meet the IGSSE team every other month! All the things IGSSE members wanted to asked but never dared...


Save the Date: Canadian ATUMS Speaker on "Global Science- Global Career"

26. November 2015, 6-8 pm, IAS Faculty Club, Garching Campus

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Friday, 09. June 2017
Workshop: Standing up for science
9 June 2017, 9am-4pm, Brussels
Apply now: McKinsey 'Forschergeist' symposium
9-11 June 2017, Berlin For doctoral researchers and postdocs!