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Water04 - DMSAM

About

Drought modeling and monitoring by novel statistical and analytical methods

Among the weather-related disasters, drought affects the most people worldwide. In view of an increasing frequency and intensity of drought episodes in many regions of the world including Europe coupled with rising vulnerability, a shift from ad hoc strategies towards mitigation based approaches to drought management is inevitable. The necessary underpinning for these actions is a consistent multivariate spatio-temporal framework for defining, characterizing, backcasting and monitoring drought.
The aim of this project is to develop and apply recent approaches to joint modeling of meteorological variables to enhance the temporal and spatial characterization of drought events, and to validate the impacts of past events on the biosphere. A stepwise modeling approach will be used to model spatial dependency of primary meteorological variables via Gaussian Markow random fields and the multivariate dependency structures of residuals via a new spatial extension of vine copulas to allow for non-symmetric dependence. Novel multiscalar descriptors of drought conditions based on the spatio-temporal dependency structures of primary climatic variables will then be derived from the models.
These drought indices are supposed to supersede existing approaches to drought characterization. The validation of these indices will be facilitated using the response of different systems of the biosphere to identified drought events. Predominantly using proxy data for vegetation response, but also data on atmospheric isotopic composition and archived impact data from various sources, this validation step will be carried out in the temporal and spatial domain alike.

01-01-1970
14.02.17

IGSSE Forum 2017

29-31 May 2017, TUM Science and Study Center Raitenhaslach, Burghausen

IGSSE setup of interdisciplinary research in project teams
16.05.17

Apply now: 12th call for proposals

IGSSE supports up to 10 new project teams

Call closes 2 July 2017

14.05.17

Climate-KIC: Join the PhD Catapult

Two-week thematic summer schools across Europe

04.05.17

IAS Symposium: Selected topics in science and technology

8-10 May 2017, IAS Building, Garching Campus

03.05.17

PhD position in project team INTERACT

Deadline for applications 15 June 2017

02.05.17

IAS Coffee Talk with PTL Florian Praetorius

3 May 2017, 1 pm, TUM IAS Building, Garching Campus

14.02.17

IGSSE Forum 2017

29-31 May 2017, TUM Science and Study Center Raitenhaslach, Burghausen

05.06.16

10th IGSSE Forum

Smart cooperation - science and technology in, with and for society

15.12.15

The Science of Cooking

Doctoral Candidates explore the Secrets of a great Dinner

26.11.15

ATUMS@IGSSE

Having heard of a great Canadian Kick-Off Meeting, everyone at IGSSE was thrilled to welcome the...

20.11.15

Breakfast at IGSSE´s

Meet the IGSSE team every other month! All the things IGSSE members wanted to asked but never dared...

13.10.15

Save the Date: Canadian ATUMS Speaker on "Global Science- Global Career"

26. November 2015, 6-8 pm, IAS Faculty Club, Garching Campus

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Tuesday, 02. May 2017
IAS Coffee Talk with PTL Florian Praetorius
3 May 2017, 1 pm, TUM IAS Building, Garching Campus
Thursday, 04. May 2017
IAS Symposium: Selected topics in science and technology
8-10 May 2017, IAS Building, Garching Campus
Wednesday, 10. May 2017
Project team ROLITOS in a German documentary
10 May 2017, 11.30 pm Suedwestrundfunk (TV) 30 May 2017, 10.30 pm Bayerischer Rundfunk (TV)
Sunday, 14. May 2017
Climate-KIC: Join the PhD Catapult
Two-week thematic summer schools across Europe
Monday, 15. May 2017
Apply now: 12th call for proposals
IGSSE supports up to 10 new project teams Call closes 2 July 2017
Wednesday, 17. May 2017
Podiumsdiskussion: Frauenförderung - Quo vadis?
17. Mai 2017, 14- 16 Uhr, Hochschule Weihenstephan-Triesdorf, Weidenbach
Friday, 19. May 2017
Tuesday, 23. May 2017
Monday, 29. May 2017
IGSSE Forum 2017
29-31 May 2017, TUM Science and Study Center Raitenhaslach, Burghausen