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10.02 BAYES


Bayesian Updating Of Engineering Models with Spatially Variable Properties

With advances in computation and monitoring technologies, there is a large number of possibilities for enhanced probabilistic predictions of engineering systems. It is becoming increasingly recognized that accurate predictions of such systems often require models that account for the random spatial variability of parameters. This holds in particular if monitoring and other observational data is to be used to learn the models and update predictions. In this project, the focus is on learning engineering models with spatially variable properties using Bayesian analysis. The Bayesian framework enables the combination of uncertain and incomplete information with sophisticated probabilistic models and it provides probabilistic information on the accuracy of the updated model.

This project has two main goals: Firstly, we want to provide the first systematic investigation of the effect of different model choices on the posterior predictions, and provide recommendations for engineering practice. Secondly, we want to identify and further enhance efficient computational methods for Bayesian analysis of engineering models with discretized random fields. The engineering PIs have been very successful recently with new methods for Bayesian analysis in the field of engineering risk. To now bring them to the next level, and to possibly extend their application to other fields, their collaboration with the mathematical sciences is essential.

IGSSE setup of interdisciplinary research in project teams

Apply now: 12th call for proposals

IGSSE supports up to 10 new project teams

Call closes 2 July 2017


Apply now: IGSSE travel grant for ICCE 2017

28-29 September 2017, TU Darmstadt

Submission deadline for abstracts: 18 June 2017


IGSSE Forum 2017

29-31 May 2017, TUM Science and Study Center Raitenhaslach, Burghausen


Climate-KIC: Join the PhD Catapult

Two-week thematic summer schools across Europe


IAS Symposium: Selected topics in science and technology

8-10 May 2017, IAS Building, Garching Campus


IAS Coffee Talk with PTL Florian Praetorius

3 May 2017, 1 pm, TUM IAS Building, Garching Campus


10th IGSSE Forum

1 - 4 June 2016, TUM Science and Study Center, Burghausen


10th IGSSE Forum

Smart cooperation - science and technology in, with and for society


The Science of Cooking

Doctoral Candidates explore the Secrets of a great Dinner



Having heard of a great Canadian Kick-Off Meeting, everyone at IGSSE was thrilled to welcome the...


Breakfast at IGSSE´s

Meet the IGSSE team every other month! All the things IGSSE members wanted to asked but never dared...


Save the Date: Canadian ATUMS Speaker on "Global Science- Global Career"

26. November 2015, 6-8 pm, IAS Faculty Club, Garching Campus

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Friday, 09. June 2017
Workshop: Standing up for science
9 June 2017, 9am-4pm, Brussels
Apply now: McKinsey 'Forschergeist' symposium
9-11 June 2017, Berlin For doctoral researchers and postdocs!